Thursday, March 25

Some Speculations About the Future of Reservoir Simulation

8:30 AM-9:15 AM
Room: Texas Ballroom B
Chair: Hamdi Tchelepi, Chevron Petroleum Technology Co.

Reservoir simulation has a history almost as old as the history of computers. Many of the basic numerical techniques for solving simple problems of flow through porous media developed in the 1950's continue to be used. In the 1960's techniques started appearing for the solution of three-phase, three-component problems that form the basis of modern black-oil models. The next major shift occurred in the 70's and early 80's, as simulators became robust enough to move out of the research laboratories and onto the desktops of practicing reservoir engineers. Since the mid 80's, reservoir geostatistics has created a new opportunity in the science of modeling reservoir performance. Geology can now be cast in a numerical framework that is easy for the engineer to understand and use. For the first time, uncertainty can be quantified. Based on review of important milestones in reservoir engineering and reservoir simulation, the speaker will speculate on possible directions for the future.

Khalid Aziz
Department of Petroleum Engineering
Stanford University

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MMD, 11/19/98